The Coaster Paradox: Why Inconvenient Models Fail

Abstract

Following a intermittent incident involving a elevator button at the Leiden University library basement, we initiated a 14-week observational study to determine whether chromatic decay could account for the observed behavior. Our data (n = 847, our largest sample to date) indicates that it can, mostly. Replication attempts are welcome. We will not be conducting them ourselves.

Methodology

Our protocol drew on a survey of 400 unwitting participants, supplemented by graph paper, pre-printed by Mw. de Lint. The investigation was approved by the Institute's Ethics Committee, which consists of Dr. Kansen and a sympathetic potted plant.

Observations

Of particular interest was behavior consistent with our theoretical predictions and inconsistent with common sense.

Dr. van der Pransen has proposed a name for this sub-effect; we are awaiting committee approval.

Discussion

What does this mean for the field? We suggest, tentatively, that environmental factors play a larger role than individual characteristics.

We are particularly indebted to a retired postman with strong opinions for raising this point at last month's seminar.

Conclusion

In summary, we recommend that policymakers take note, though we have no specific policy recommendations.